China lost control of its 8.5-tonne Tiangong-1 space station last year and it started plummeting towards Earth.
The Communist superpower – which initially tried to keep the catastrophic failure secret – revealed in September that it could hit the planet at any moment.
But it now looks as though it will meet its fiery end in early-2018.
The European Space Agency (ESA) has narrowed down the possible crash sites to many locations, with 13 other agencies around the world also monitoring its descent.
Holger Krag, Head of ESA’s Space Debris Office, said there is a chance of debris raining down on Spain, Portugal, Italy, Bulgaria and Greece.
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He said: “Owing to the geometry of the station’s orbit, we can already exclude the possibility that any fragments will fall over any spot further north than 43 degrees North or further south than 43 degrees South.
“This means that re-entry may take place over any spot on Earth between these latitudes, which includes several European countries, for example.
“The date, time and geographic footprint of the re-entry can only be predicted with large uncertainties. Even shortly before re-entry, only a very large time and the geographical window can be estimated.”
But the ESA added no one has ever been killed by falling debris in the history of spaceflight.
The Tiangong-1 spacecraft is 12 meters long, 39 feet with a diameter of 3.3 meters, 11 feet and had a launch mass of 8,506 kg.
It has been unoccupied since 2013 and there has been no contact at all with it since 2016.