Chances are, Kim Jong-un is about to do something stupid. An aggressive missile launch. A provocative nuclear test. Whatever it is, the US has positioned an aircraft carrier battle group nearby to retaliate with its own ‘message’.
Today is October 10.
In North Korea, that is significant.
It’s the anniversary of the founding of its Communist Worker’s Party and the Kim dynasty of rulers.
To North Korea, it’s exactly the kind of day that warrants celebration.
And, in Kim Jong-un’s mind, posturing.
Such celebrations tend to be marked by military parades and boisterous speeches. But also, missile launches and nuclear warhead tests.
But he’s being predictable.
“The Kim regime usually uses these sorts of occasions to demonstrate some show of strength – in this current climate a missile test is a likely result,” says Dr Genevieve Hohnen, lecturer in politics and international relations at Edith Cowan University.
Less predictable is US President Donald Trump – himself full of bluster that North Korea’s “Rocket Man … won’t be around much longer.”